WATER A CAUSE FOR WAR IN COMING DECADES

                                       WATER A CAUSE FOR WAR IN COMING DECADES

A Walk for Water

Water Seminar at Kurakar Center

Drop of Water?

 A  Walk for Water

 Drought, floods and a lack of fresh water may cause significant global instability and conflict in the coming decades, as developing countries scramble to meet demand from exploding populations while dealing with the effects of climate change, US intelligence agencies said in a report.An assessment reflecting the joint judgement of federal intelligence agencies says the risk of water issues causing wars in the next 10 years is minimal even as they create tensions within and between states and threaten to disrupt national and global food markets. But beyond 2022, it says the use of water as a weapon of war or a tool of terrorism will become more likely, particularly in South Asia, the Middle East and North Africa. 

The report is based on a classified National Intelligence Estimate on water security, which was requested by Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton and completed last year. It says floods, scarce and poor quality water, combined with poverty, social tension, poor leadership and weak governments will contribute to instability that could lead the failure of numerous states. Those elements "will likely increase the risk of instability and state failure, exacerbate regional tensions, and distract countries from working with the United States on important policy objectives," said the report, to be released at a State Department event commemorating World Water Day. 
At the event, Clinton is to unveil a new US Water Partnership that aims to share American water management expertise with the rest of the world. "We assess that a water-related state-on-state conflict is unlikely during the next 10 years," the report said, noting that in the past countries have tried to resolve water issues through negotiation. "However, we judge that as water shortages become more acute beyond the next 10 years, water in shared basins will increasingly be used as leverage; the use of water as a weapon or to further terrorist objectives, also will become more likely beyond 10 years." 

The report predicts that upstream nations -- more powerful than their downstream neighbours due to geography -- will limit access to water for political reasons and that countries will regulate internal supplies to suppress separatist movements and dissident populations. At the same time, terrorists and rogue states may target or threaten to target water-related infrastructure like dams and reservoirs more frequently. Even if attacks do not occur or are only partially successful, the report said "the fear of massive floods or loss of water resources would alarm the public and cause governments to take costly measures to protect the water infrastructure."  


                                                                Prof. John Kurakar